Sunday, October 3, 2010

Melena Velba After The Party

Spain 2010 Argentina 1978

spoke this weekend with an Argentine friend of my brother and told me the funny thing is that when a country goes wrong partner "Economically it is usually good in sports.

I answered that yes, maybe Argentina Spain 2010 = 1978. I seems likely that the economic experience of Argentina during the 80's and 90's is what to expect in Spain in the next twenty years.

So tonight, before finishing the weekend, I began to play with the data from Angus Maddison and have produced this chart. My predictions, with no theoretical basis, economic or statistical, are therefore:

(1) Within 25 years, Spain has the same per capita income now (in 2003 per capita income of Argentina was less $ 8,000 per capita, as in 1978).

(2) Within eight years, Spain will win the World Cup again (Argentina won its second World Cup in Mexico in 1986).

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